The last few days have been emotional. On Wednesday Nadia Savchenko arrived in Kyiv to a hero’s welcome, and a plethora of speculation as to her impact on Ukraine’s political scene. Her speech at Boryspil airport was uncompromising; her body language in Poroshenko’s presence was defiant (respectful … [Read more...] about The Coming Autumn Heat
This week the world mourns the victims of the IS (“Islamic State”) attacks on Paris. Meanwhile, seemingly as proof of the degree to which Ukraine is peripheral to global public opinion, the resurgent conflict in Ukraine’s Donbas goes unnoticed (as do the recent bombings in Beirut). In Ukraine, news … [Read more...] about Thoughts from Kyiv – In the wake of Paris bombings, shelling in the Donbas resumes
The crisis in Ukraine has plunged US-Russian relations to their lowest point since the Cold War. Crimea is now Russian territory. Although prisoners of war have been exchanged and both sides have agreed to pull back heavy weapons, the accord signed on February 12 in Minsk has failed so far to stop … [Read more...] about The real winner of the Ukraine crisis could be China
Geopolitics is not chess, but the analogy works. Vladimir Putin has been playing this game with his closest neighbours (Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan) for many years, but recently it seems, the West has finally engaged (much to the Russian President’s delight). In Minsk this morning, Putin … [Read more...] about Towards a proactive Russia policy: What constitutes checkmate?
The problem with revolutionary times (and in case anyone was in doubt - Ukraine’s revolution continues) is that so many things happen simultaneously that it sometimes can be extremely difficult to keep track. Normally, to understand 70-80% of the salient political issues in a country at any given … [Read more...] about Ukraine’s revolution continues – Thought’s from Kiev
My last post on the current situation in Ukraine was exactly two months ago. On October 3rd I predicted that an all-out invasion of Ukraine (including use of air power by Russia against targets in Kyiv and Dnipropetrovsk) was to occur before the Oct. 26 Parliamentary election. Thankfully, that … [Read more...] about Putin’s Vision of World Order – Thoughts from Kiev.